How do people deal with uncertainty about climate, disease or natural disasters like floods? This project aimed to compare and contrast the views of people who study uncertainty with the perspectives of those who experience it.
Social and natural scientists, modellers, and other experts have developed sophisticated theories of ecological uncertainty. But theories, models and diagrams from “above” may have little to do with the way how everyday men and women (poor or rich, urban or rural especially in the global South) live with, understand and cope with uncertainty.
This project was funded under the ESRC STEPS Centre from 2011-2016, and has now turned into the Norwegian Research Council-funded project Uncertainty, Climate Change and Transformation.
- Sundarbans: the Sundarbans, a network of islands in the Bay of Bengal, is particularly at risk from rising sea levels. We looked at how different people see climate-related challenges and resilience – residents of the Sundarbans, informal health workers, and workers in NGOs. We also examined the tension between short term coping mechanisms and longer term adaptation – both in terms of health system development and livelihood strategies, including out-migration.
- Urban India: this part of the research examined the relationships between different kinds of uncertainties in particular domains (eg natural disasters, water, energy, waste, housing) at the level of cities and towns. We looked at the similarities and differences between the dominant pathways for dealing with climate change, and emerging forms of resilience on the ground.
- Kutch: Kutch is a dryland area in western India known for scarcity and ecological uncertainty. We explored how official policies and debates on climate change contrast with local practices and knowledge, in the context of major changes that are shaping the region and Gujarat more generally.
Digital story: After the storm
This Medium.com article tells the story of how people are responding to the after-effects of tropical cyclone Aila, which caused devastation in the Sundarbans region in 2009.
Workshop: Climate Change and Uncertainty from Above and Below, Delhi, January 2016
- Uncertainty through the lens ‘Photo Voice’ presentation by Shibaji Bose
- Photovoice vignette in our Methods section
- Uncertainty from Below case in our Methods section
Living on the Edge: Climate Change and Uncertainty in the Indian Sundarbans. Ghosh, U., Bose, S. and Brahmachari, R., 2018
Addressing Climate Change Uncertainty in Dryland Kachchh, India. Srivastava, S. and Mehta, L., 2018
Transforming Urban Governance to Manage Uncertainty and Climate Change in Mumbai, India. Hans Nicolai Adam, H.N., Parthasarathy, D., and Narayanan, N.C., 2018
Bringing Together Voices to Address Climate Change Uncertainty in the Indian Sundarbans. Ghosh, U. and Bose, S., 2018
STEPS members working on this project:
- V Vijay Kumar, Gujarat Institute of Desert Ecology, Bhuj
- Barun Kanjilal and Upasona Ghosh, Indian Institute of Health Management Research, Kolkata
- Alankar and Dipu Sharan, Sarai, New Delhi
We welcome media queries about this project:
India contact: Shibaji Bose | Phone: +91-96740-87140 | Email: firstname.lastname@example.org
- 4 March 2014 Climate change unites fishermen in Kutch and Sundarbans Times of Mumbai
- 4 May 2012: Edge of sustainability: why Rio+20 mustn’t ignore people on city fringe, The Guardian, write Lyla Metha and Fiona Marshall on Poverty Matters, the blog of the Guardian’s Global Development site.